Predictions on sour cherry quality via an analysis of cultivars and climatic factors

06 Dec 2024
2188

Sour cherries (Prunus cerasus L.) are highly sought after in the European market due to their sensory properties and high nutritional value. Rich in antioxidants with health benefits, these cherries have been studied for over a decade by researchers in the Southern Steppe region of Ukraine.

The study analyzed 10 sour cherry cultivars from 2007 to 2019, focusing on the relationships between varietal characteristics, climatic factors, and fruit and stone weight. The cultivars that showed the best results in terms of fruit weight were "Griot Melitopolskyi," "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," and "Vstrecha," with average weights of 7.48 g, 7.59 g, and 7.87 g, respectively.

Conversely, the cultivar "Shalunia" displayed the lightest stone, with an average weight of 0.29 g. However, the overall average fruit weight of sour cherries under the study conditions in southern Ukraine was 5.93 g, with an average stone weight of 0.39 g. Moreover, the cultivar "Vstrecha" stood out not only for its average fruit weight but also for the best ratio between stone and pulp weight (4.82%), a crucial parameter for marketability and consumer appeal.

These data highlight significant variability among the cultivars and underscore the importance of genetic and environmental factors in determining final quality.

The key finding was the dominant influence of climatic conditions, accounting for 52.1% of fruit weight formation and 59.72% of stone weight formation. Among the most significant factors were the annual average relative humidity and May precipitation levels.

The study employed statistical methods, including RIDGE regression, to overcome multicollinearity issues among climatic variables. This approach enabled the development of reliable predictive models with a determination coefficient (R²) of 0.94 for fruit weight and 0.78 for stone weight.

The models allow for forecasting cherry quality during the growth phase, providing valuable tools for farmers and the agro-food industry. The ability to predict fruit quality based on climatic data helps adapt cultivation practices to maximize yield and minimize waste. For instance, cultivars such as "Vstrecha" and "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," which showed greater stability under variable climatic conditions, can be prioritized in areas with challenging climates.

Moreover, insights into pulp-to-stone ratios offer valuable information for the processing industry, which requires raw materials with specific characteristics.

The model also facilitates the identification of the most stable and productive cultivars under varying climatic conditions and helps optimize cultivation strategies. Additionally, it enables better planning of water and nutrient resources, supporting sustainable agricultural practices.

In conclusion, sour cherries reaffirm their value in the market. Thanks to the predictive tools developed, it is possible to integrate science and technology to enhance production quality, reduce waste, and meet the needs of increasingly sustainability-conscious consumers.

Source: IRYNA IVANOVA, MARINA SERDYUK, TETIANA TYMOSHCHUK, VIRA MALKINA, ANNA SHKINDER-BARMINA, ANTONINA DROBITKO, … YURII SAVCHUK. (2024). Prediction of Cherry Fruit Technological Characteristics by RIDGE-regression Method. Future of Food: Journal on Food, Agriculture and Society, 12(1). Retrieved from https://thefutureoffoodjournal.com/manuscript/index.php/FOFJ/article/view/691.
Images: SL Fruit Service

Andrea Giovannini
University of Bologna (IT)


Cherry Times - All rights reserved

What to read next

The use of bioproducts for an effective and more sustainable cherry cultivation

Crop protection

16 Sep 2024

Recently, researchers at the University of Conceptiòn (Chile) evaluated the phytosanitary impact of bio-based defence programmes for the control of bacterial canker and fruit rots in pre- and post-harvest using bioproduct-based treatments (BPP1 and BPP2).

Canadian dwarf cherries: resilient, sweet, and built for industry

Breeding

21 Aug 2025

Canadian dwarf cherries unite cold resistance, compact growth, and naturally dark pulp ideal for food processing. Sweet and high-sugar fruits, easy to harvest and propagate, offer strong potential for pie fillings, juices, wines, dried cherries, and innovative products.

In evidenza

Climate change and cherry blossom: how warmer winters are altering phenology

Tech management

19 Aug 2026

A 44-year INRAE study shows how climate change is reshaping chilling, forcing and sweet cherry flowering in southwestern France, increasing frost risk and challenging phenology models while guiding breeding strategies for stable yields under future climate conditions.

Record rise in exports of cherries and sour cherries from Turkey

Markets

19 Aug 2026

Turkey’s cherry and sour cherry exports surged in the first six months of the year to $101.72 million, up 333% year on year. BAİB accounted for about 40% of shipments, while strong production supported exports to Europe, Russia, Asia and other key international markets.

Tag Popolari