Predictions on sour cherry quality via an analysis of cultivars and climatic factors

06 Dec 2024
2381

Sour cherries (Prunus cerasus L.) are highly sought after in the European market due to their sensory properties and high nutritional value. Rich in antioxidants with health benefits, these cherries have been studied for over a decade by researchers in the Southern Steppe region of Ukraine.

The study analyzed 10 sour cherry cultivars from 2007 to 2019, focusing on the relationships between varietal characteristics, climatic factors, and fruit and stone weight. The cultivars that showed the best results in terms of fruit weight were "Griot Melitopolskyi," "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," and "Vstrecha," with average weights of 7.48 g, 7.59 g, and 7.87 g, respectively.

Conversely, the cultivar "Shalunia" displayed the lightest stone, with an average weight of 0.29 g. However, the overall average fruit weight of sour cherries under the study conditions in southern Ukraine was 5.93 g, with an average stone weight of 0.39 g. Moreover, the cultivar "Vstrecha" stood out not only for its average fruit weight but also for the best ratio between stone and pulp weight (4.82%), a crucial parameter for marketability and consumer appeal.

These data highlight significant variability among the cultivars and underscore the importance of genetic and environmental factors in determining final quality.

The key finding was the dominant influence of climatic conditions, accounting for 52.1% of fruit weight formation and 59.72% of stone weight formation. Among the most significant factors were the annual average relative humidity and May precipitation levels.

The study employed statistical methods, including RIDGE regression, to overcome multicollinearity issues among climatic variables. This approach enabled the development of reliable predictive models with a determination coefficient (R²) of 0.94 for fruit weight and 0.78 for stone weight.

The models allow for forecasting cherry quality during the growth phase, providing valuable tools for farmers and the agro-food industry. The ability to predict fruit quality based on climatic data helps adapt cultivation practices to maximize yield and minimize waste. For instance, cultivars such as "Vstrecha" and "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," which showed greater stability under variable climatic conditions, can be prioritized in areas with challenging climates.

Moreover, insights into pulp-to-stone ratios offer valuable information for the processing industry, which requires raw materials with specific characteristics.

The model also facilitates the identification of the most stable and productive cultivars under varying climatic conditions and helps optimize cultivation strategies. Additionally, it enables better planning of water and nutrient resources, supporting sustainable agricultural practices.

In conclusion, sour cherries reaffirm their value in the market. Thanks to the predictive tools developed, it is possible to integrate science and technology to enhance production quality, reduce waste, and meet the needs of increasingly sustainability-conscious consumers.

Source: IRYNA IVANOVA, MARINA SERDYUK, TETIANA TYMOSHCHUK, VIRA MALKINA, ANNA SHKINDER-BARMINA, ANTONINA DROBITKO, … YURII SAVCHUK. (2024). Prediction of Cherry Fruit Technological Characteristics by RIDGE-regression Method. Future of Food: Journal on Food, Agriculture and Society, 12(1). Retrieved from https://thefutureoffoodjournal.com/manuscript/index.php/FOFJ/article/view/691.
Images: SL Fruit Service

Andrea Giovannini
University of Bologna (IT)


Cherry Times - All rights reserved

What to read next

Valle del Jerte cherry: after a few seasons with the handbrake on, the focus is on the 2024 season

Markets

11 Jun 2024

After a season, that of 2022, characterised by heavy losses, the Jerte-based organisation is pinning all its hopes on this season. ‘We expect an average season between 16,000 and 18,000 tonnes,’ says Monica Tierno, the organisation's general manager.

Understanding sweet cherry water needs through sap flow measurements

Tech management

05 Sep 2024

A study conducted near the city of Ficksburg, South Africa, from September 2017 to December 2018 highlighted the sweet cherry tree's sensitivity to soil moisture levels, especially during critical growth stages, where water stress can significantly impact the yield.

In evidenza

Albanian home-grown cherries are targeting high-end European markets

Specialties

26 Oct 2026

Godolesh, near Elbasan in Albania, is a distinctive cherry-growing area. Its native variety, annual output of around 700 tonnes and sustainable practices support ambitions to reach European markets, from Italy to Germany, building on quality, origin and tradition.

Frequent rainfall is putting Chilean cherry production and the cherry market at risk

Production

23 Oct 2026

Spring rains in Chile have split early cherries in the north, while damage in O’Higgins, which accounts for over 80% of production, remains marginal so far. Growers are monitoring fungal disease, saturated soils and potential impacts on Chile’s 2026/27 cherry crop.

Tag Popolari