Predictions on sour cherry quality via an analysis of cultivars and climatic factors

06 Dec 2024
1700

Sour cherries (Prunus cerasus L.) are highly sought after in the European market due to their sensory properties and high nutritional value. Rich in antioxidants with health benefits, these cherries have been studied for over a decade by researchers in the Southern Steppe region of Ukraine.

The study analyzed 10 sour cherry cultivars from 2007 to 2019, focusing on the relationships between varietal characteristics, climatic factors, and fruit and stone weight. The cultivars that showed the best results in terms of fruit weight were "Griot Melitopolskyi," "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," and "Vstrecha," with average weights of 7.48 g, 7.59 g, and 7.87 g, respectively.

Conversely, the cultivar "Shalunia" displayed the lightest stone, with an average weight of 0.29 g. However, the overall average fruit weight of sour cherries under the study conditions in southern Ukraine was 5.93 g, with an average stone weight of 0.39 g. Moreover, the cultivar "Vstrecha" stood out not only for its average fruit weight but also for the best ratio between stone and pulp weight (4.82%), a crucial parameter for marketability and consumer appeal.

These data highlight significant variability among the cultivars and underscore the importance of genetic and environmental factors in determining final quality.

The key finding was the dominant influence of climatic conditions, accounting for 52.1% of fruit weight formation and 59.72% of stone weight formation. Among the most significant factors were the annual average relative humidity and May precipitation levels.

The study employed statistical methods, including RIDGE regression, to overcome multicollinearity issues among climatic variables. This approach enabled the development of reliable predictive models with a determination coefficient (R²) of 0.94 for fruit weight and 0.78 for stone weight.

The models allow for forecasting cherry quality during the growth phase, providing valuable tools for farmers and the agro-food industry. The ability to predict fruit quality based on climatic data helps adapt cultivation practices to maximize yield and minimize waste. For instance, cultivars such as "Vstrecha" and "Siyanets Turovtsevoi," which showed greater stability under variable climatic conditions, can be prioritized in areas with challenging climates.

Moreover, insights into pulp-to-stone ratios offer valuable information for the processing industry, which requires raw materials with specific characteristics.

The model also facilitates the identification of the most stable and productive cultivars under varying climatic conditions and helps optimize cultivation strategies. Additionally, it enables better planning of water and nutrient resources, supporting sustainable agricultural practices.

In conclusion, sour cherries reaffirm their value in the market. Thanks to the predictive tools developed, it is possible to integrate science and technology to enhance production quality, reduce waste, and meet the needs of increasingly sustainability-conscious consumers.

Source: IRYNA IVANOVA, MARINA SERDYUK, TETIANA TYMOSHCHUK, VIRA MALKINA, ANNA SHKINDER-BARMINA, ANTONINA DROBITKO, … YURII SAVCHUK. (2024). Prediction of Cherry Fruit Technological Characteristics by RIDGE-regression Method. Future of Food: Journal on Food, Agriculture and Society, 12(1). Retrieved from https://thefutureoffoodjournal.com/manuscript/index.php/FOFJ/article/view/691.
Images: SL Fruit Service

Andrea Giovannini
University of Bologna (IT)


Cherry Times - All rights reserved

What to read next

Canada cherries: innovation and PVP drive global competitiveness

Varieties

02 Mar 2026

How does Canada stay competitive in the global cherry market? New varieties developed in British Columbia, plant variety protection (PVP) and strong public-private partnerships increase yields, quality and exports, supporting growers and the agri-food value chain.

Impacts of spur thinning on Lapins cherry orchards: growth and fruit quality

Production

10 Oct 2025

A field study in Chile on Lapins cherry trees reveals that spur thinning does not always improve fruit quality but can significantly affect vegetative growth. In-depth analysis on yield management, leaf area ratio, and seasonal climatic conditions in modern orchards.

In evidenza

Irrigation and soil management in sweet cherry: towards more efficient and resilient systems

Tech management

31 Mar 2026

A Canadian study explores how drip and micro-sprinkler irrigation interact with compost and mulching in cherry orchards. Findings highlight impacts on soil moisture, tree growth and yield, providing guidance to manage water stress and improve productivity.

Imports of Chilean cherries into Argentina reach a record high: 1,273 tonnes

Markets

31 Mar 2026

Chilean cherry imports in Argentina hit 1,273 tons, setting a new record. Amid Chilean oversupply and steady premium demand, the market absorbs higher volumes without price collapse, raising questions about future balance and competition in the sector.

Tag Popolari